May 2016


Basketball picksMay 26, 2016

Game 6 Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors NBA Playoff Picks

Game 6 Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors NBA Playoff Picks

Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors – Game 6         

Friday, May 27, 8:30 p.m. (ET) ESPN

Pointspread: Cleveland -6

Total Line: 197

Cleveland at Toronto Game 6 Matchup Overview

The Cavaliers will be looking to punch their ticket to a second-straight trip to the NBA Finals on Friday night after taking that all-important 3-2 series lead with Wednesday’s dominating 116-78 victory in Game 5 as 11-point home favorites on closing betting line. The total stayed UNDER 196 in NBA picks that crucial win and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of the first five games in this best-of-seven clash.

The main obstacle standing in Cleveland’s way of closing things out could be its inability to beat this team on the road. Going back to the regular season, it has now lost its last four trips to the Air Canada Centre both straight-up and against the spread after closing as a favorite on all four games. The Cavs dropped two games on the road in this series by a combined 21 points after closing as six-point favorites with BetAnySports in both contests.

Toronto could not carry the momentum it generated with those two wins at home into Wednesday’s night matchup and at the end of the first quarter it found itself down by 18 points. That deficit grew to 31 points after giving-up a total of 65 points by halftime. The Raptors will welcome the chance to play this game at home after going 8-2 SU with a 5-5 record ATS in 10 previous home games in the postseason. The total was evenly split 5-5 in those 10 games.

Inconsistency in the play of the Raptors’ backcourt has been one of the main reasons why they needed the full seven games to get through the first two rounds of the playoffs and why they are on the brink of elimination in this series. Going back to Wednesday’ loss, Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan accounted for 27 points while going 7-for-20 from the field. In Toronto’s back-to-back victories at home, these two combined for 52 points in Game 3 and 67 points in a 105-99 victory in Game 4. 

Cleveland at Toronto Game 6 NBA Playoff Picks

There is no doubt that Cleveland made a strong statement in Wednesday’s win, but it has yet to prove it can beat the Raptors on the road as a favorite



Basketball picksMay 24, 2016

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Game 4 NBA Playoff Picks

Monday NBA Playoff Picks - Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio SpursThe Oklahoma City Thunder deliver a big time performance in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals to take a slight advantage. The win on Sunday May 22nd, 2016 moved the momentum back to to the Thunder after the Golden State Warriors rebounded in Game 2. This series has gone back and forth from the Thunders Game 1 win at the Oracle Arena in Oakland.

Leading up to this game many experts and fans believed the Game 2 win would keep the momentum on the side of the Warriors and help them roll over the next few games to knock out the Thunder. Instead a groin kick early in the first half from Draymond Green to Steven Adams might have turned all the momentum for the rest of this series to the Thunder.

The Thunder turned that flagrant one foul into their favor as they out scored the Warriors 72-47 leading in to the half. The Warriors wouldn’t be able to find any type any type of success of their own in the second half as the  Thunder finished their blowout win 133-105.

In this game the big two of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were unstoppable on both sides of the floor. Durant finished 10 of 15 from the floor to lead all scorers with 33 points while adding eight rebounds. Meanwhile Westbrook turned in nearly another triple double finishing with 30 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds. In all six different Thunder players finished with at least 10 points include Serge Ibaka who grabbed eight rebounds to go with his 14 points.

On the other side the Warriors just couldn’t get their shot to go down as nearly every player on the court struggled. That included Green who looked to be more worried about getting in the heads of the Thunder leading to his struggles. Green finished the game just 1 for 9 from the floor and just six points. Stephen Curry lead the Warriors with 24 points but manged to dish out only three assists. The only other member of the Warriors team to turn in double digits was Klay Thompson who finished with 18 points.

Keys to Game 4 in Oklahoma City: Game 3 was a easy win for the Thunder as they controlled nearly every aspect of the game. For the Warriors to even up the series at two games a piece they will need to first shoot better as a team. The team finished just 10 for 33 from behind the three point line as Curry hit just three of his 11 attempts while Thompson managed to hit just two of his eight attempts.

For the Thunder all they need to do is take the same approach as they hit 14 more free throws than the Warriors. The team also dominated the glass grabbing 52 rebounds compared to just 38 the Warriors managed to grab helping them limit the second chance opportunites.

Betting Trends: Despite the Thunders dominance in Game 3 the Las Vegas Sports Books continue to favor the Warriors in this series as they are the 1.5 point favorite on Tuesday Night. Meanwhile they continue to expect scoring on both ends of the floor as the over/under line currently sits at 222 points.

Now as we start to look at the trends for Game 4, the slight advantage could go with the Thunder as the Warriors are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games in NBA playoff picks and predictions on Tuesday Night. Meanwhile the Thunder are 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 game at home against teams that had a winning record.

The head to head trends also point to the Thunder in this contest as the home team has dominated the series against the spread going 9-1-1 the last 11 times they have squared off. Meanwhile the Warriors have struggled in OKC failing to cover the spread in each of their last five games at the Chesapeake Arena. Meanwhile the two teams have combined to cover the over in seven of their last eight games in OKC.

Is this the year Durant and Westbrook get over the hump or will Curry lead his Warriors to a dramatic come back series win to advance to the NBA Finals? Game 4 could be a big time factor in how this series will turn out as it is a must win game for each of these teams.



Basketball picksMay 23, 2016

Game 4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors NBA Playoff Picks

Game 4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors NBA Playoff PicksNBA Conference Finals Preview & Free Pick

Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors – Game 4         

Monday, May 23, 8:30 p.m. (ET) ESPN

NBA Pointspread: Cleveland -5.5

Total Line: 197

Cleveland at Toronto Game 4 Overview

Cleveland’s 10-game winning streak in the postseason finally came to an end with a 99-84 loss in Game 3 of this series as a six-point road favorite on GTbets closing betting line. The Cavaliers are 7-4 against the spread in NBA playoff picks
in 11 postseason games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in eight of their last 10 games. They are now 2-3 ATS in five postseason games on the road

This past Saturday’s loss was the first time in the playoffs where Cleveland failed to score at least 100 points. The Cavs put up 115 points in a 31-point romp in Game 1 against Toronto as 11-point home favorites and they won Game 2 by 19 points as 11.5-point favorites at home. Through 11 playoff games, they are averaging 106.3 points per game led by Kyrie Irving (23.7 points) and LeBron James (23.5 points). Cleveland has only given-up more than 100 points twice this postseason.

The Raptors needed all seven games to get past Indiana and Miami in the first two rounds of the playoffs while going a costly 5-9 ATS on betting line. Counting Saturday’s win, they are now 7-2 SU at home in the postseason with a 4-5 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in Toronto’s last two games after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in six of its previous eight contests. It has stayed UNDER in five of the nine home games in the postseason.

As goes the backcourt duo of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan so goes the Raptors. Both have been up and down with their shooting in all three playoff series this season, but they were both on in Saturday’s crucial win. Lowry ended the game with 20 points while going 4-for-8 from three-point range. DeRozan led all scorers with 32 points and he hit 12 of his 24 shots from the field. Despite the lopsided win, Toronto has still only scored 100 points or more in one of its last nine playoff games.

Cleveland at Toronto Game Prediction

I am not too sure that Toronto can win again on its home court to even this series, but I like its chances to keep Cleveland in check on the scoreboard.

 



Basketball picksMay 18, 2016

Game 2 Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors NBA Playoff Picks

Game 2 Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors NBA Playoff PicksOklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors- Game 2  

Wednesday, May 18, 9 p.m. (ET) TNT

NBA Pointspread: Golden State -8.5

Total Line: 222

Oklahoma City at Golden State Game Matchup Overview 

The Thunder drew first blood in this conference final showdown with a stunning 108-102 victory in Monday’s Game 1 as 7.5-point road underdogs on RealBet.eu closing line. They have now won five of their last six games both straight-up and NBA against the spread picks with the total staying UNDER in four of those contests. Oklahoma City is also 5-1 (SU and ATS) is six playoff games on the road.

Both Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are playing some of their best ball of the year at just the right time. In Monday’s win, Durant scored 26 points while pulling down 11 rebounds and Westbrook posted his own double-double with 27 points and 12 assists. Oklahoma City shot 43.8 percent from the field while going 8-for-17 from three-point range. It is averaging 106.1 points per game in the postseason while shooting 46.1 percent from the floor.

Golden State is 8-3 SU through 11 playoff games and it has now failed to cover in three of its last four contests to fall to 7-4 ATS on RealBet closing betting line. The total has stayed UNDER in six of those games. Monday was just the second time in 11 games that the Warriors failed to score at least 104 points and their scoring average in the postseason stands at 113.2 points. The loss on their home court was just their third of the year and they are now 26-22 ATS in 48 previous home games.

After cruising past both Houston and Portland in five-game series victories in the first two rounds Golden State now knows it has a fight on its hands in this series. Missed shots and bad fouls did not hurt the NBA’s top team in its first 10 games, but the Warriors are going to have to clean things up against the Thunder to avoid falling into a dangerous 0-2 hole with the next two matchups on the road.

Oklahoma City at Golden State Game NBA Playoff Picks

It would hard to see Golden State lose back-to-back games for the first time this season, but it is also hard betting against a very hot Oklahoma City team right now.



Baseball picksMay 4, 2016

Wednesday May 4th MLB Picks & Predictions

Wednesday May 4th MLB Picks & PredictionsThe 2016 Major League Baseball schedule is in full force with all 30 teams in action on Wednesday. Now this isn’t your typical Wednesday lineup as action gets started with a pair of games starting at 12:35pm ET. Along with those two games five other games on the diamond get underway before 3:40pm ET.

One of those early games features two of the top teams in the National League Central square off in Pittsburgh. Jon Lester will look to lead his Chicago Cubs to a win over the Juan Nicasio and the Pirates. Entering this game Lester has been brilliant for the Cubs going 2-1 over his first five starts of the season. Meanwhile Nicasio has been a surprise weapon for the Pirates going 3-2 over his first three starts while firing at least six innings in three of those starts.

Now Lester is just one of a few top tier starters taking the mound tomorrow as Stephen Strasburg will look to improve to 5-0 against the Kansas City Royals. Strasburg has been one of the best starters in all of baseball pitching to a 4-0 record and a 2.25 earned run average over his first five starts this season with the team winning all five games he started.

Along with the Nationals success this season with Strasburg on the mound the team has been really good with him starting dating back to last season. The Nationals won each of his final four starts last season moving their record to 9-0 over his last start and 13-2 over his last 15 overall starts.

Here are some key MLB games trends and picks to consider looking at on Wednesday May 4th, 2016.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins: These two teams have not lived up to their preseason hype but they have been able to produce for sports bettors looking to capitalize on them. The two teams have combined to cover the over in 14 of their last 20 combined games.

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets: You can look at this matchup from a few different angles including the fact that Braves have struggled against the Mets in New York. Over their last ten games entering Tuesday, the Braves are just 3-7 in the Big Apple as well as just 0-4 in the last four games they have met. That being said the over has been good for sports bettors as they have combined to cover in 17 of their past 24 contests.

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles: The interdivision battles continue at Camden Yards on Wednesday Night as these two teams will clash for the second straight night. Heading into this series the Yankees have struggled going 0-5 in their last five road games and just 8-20 against teams in the American League East. The Yankees have also struggled at Camden yards going just 7-20 in their last 27 games in Baltimore.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres: This National League West series is one sided in San Diego as the Padres are 19-7 the last 26 times the Rockies have made the trip out. Along with the Padres success the two teams have combined to cover the over in five of their last seven games they have met.

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros: Entering their series on Tuesday Night the Twins have been really good against teams in the American League West. That includes the team going 5-0 in their last five games against the division. Now on the downside the Twins have struggled on the road going just 2-10 over their past 12 road games.



Basketball picksMay 4, 2016

NBA Playoffs Wednesday Preview & Free Pick

NBA Playoffs Wednesday Preview & Free PickNBA Playoffs Wednesday Preview & Free Pick

Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers- Game 2

Wednesday, May 4, 8 p.m. (ET) TNT

NBA Pointspread: Cleveland -7

Total Line: 198

Atlanta at Cleveland Game Matchup Overview 

The Hawks will try and even this Eastern Conference Semifinals matchup at a game apiece after suffering a 104-93 loss in Game 1 as 7.5-point road underdogs on GTbets closing betting line. Despite its recent 4-2 series win against Boston in the opening round of the playoffs, Atlanta is a costly 3-6 against the spread in its last nine games. The total stayed UNDER the closing 199.5-point line in this series’ opener and it has now stayed UNDER in 10 of its last 12 games.

Atlanta’s chances to earn a split on the road could hinge on a much faster start out of the gate after it fell behind by 11 points after the first quarter of play in Game 1. Another key will be a much better effort from shooting guard Kyle Korver, who was held to just three points in that loss. The Hawks averaged 102.8 points per game in the regular season, but that has dropped slightly to 99.4 points through seven postseason games. They are shooting just 41.8 percent from the field as opposed to a field goal percentage of 45.8 during the season.

The Cavaliers proved why they remain the top favorite on GtBetsNBA futures to win the East this season. Following an impressive four-game sweep of Detroit in the first round of the playoffs it was pretty obvious that the long layoff had no adverse effect on their play in the first game of this best-of-seven series. Betting on Cleveland has not been a sure thing lately with a 4-5 record ATS over its last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last seven games.

LeBron James has averaged 23.2 points through five playoff games, but the team’s leading scorer has been Kyrie Irving with 26.2 points. Rounding-out Cleveland’s version of a big three would be Kevin Love with 18.4 points and 11.8 rebounds a game. This has added-up to a scoring average of 103.6 PPG as compared to a slightly higher regular-season average of 104.3 PPG. The Cavs have not allowed more than 101 points in any of their first five postseason contests.

Atlanta at Cleveland Game Prediction

Atlanta might be able to keep things closer than seven points in another SU loss on the road, but I am looking for both teams to keep playing tight defense in a game, click here to get our free pick on this game.



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