An interesting dilemma on Tuesday, to be certain – the San Francisco Giants have played seven of their last nine games over the total, while the Miami Marlins have gone 6-2-1 to the “under” over that period. Of course, these teams have both “earned it.” The Marlins have been positively anemic when it has come to scoring runs, tallying just eleven in their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Giants have scored 32 runs in their last five.
BetAnySports customers will see Ryan Vogelsong take the mound for the Giants, and his last outing was nothing but solid, as he pitched six innings of shutout ball against the San Diego Padres. San Francisco has gone 7-3 the last ten times he has been on the mound.
On the other side of things we have Mat Latos, one-time hotshot prospect who currently finds himself in the role of the sort of veteran teams will be interested in grabbing cheap by the trade deadline. Of course, the Marlins will be “sellers” rather than “buyers” because not only are they way out the race at 31-46, but Giancarlo Stanton is sidelined with a broken bone in his wrist for at least the next two weeks.
Miami Marlins (Latos) -115
San Francisco Giants (Vogelsong) +105
Over 7.5 runs -115
Under 7.5 runs -105
Stanton didn’t get hit by a pitch; his wrist injury just sort of happened, and this was probably worse news for Major League Baseball than it is for the Marlins, who don’t have any post-season hopes to damage. But Stanton, who has hit most of the tape-measure home runs we have seen this season, is not going to be available for the All-Star Game or the Home Run Derby, and that is going to leave a void.
The Giants are not without their injuries either. Nori Aoki, who leads the team in batting average, is on the DL with a leg injury, and Hunter Pence is still sitting with a wrist problem.
Customers who follow the “fortunes” of the Marlins know that there is some good news coming this week with the return of pitcher Jose Fernandez, who is coming back from Tommy John surgery. But they can no longer, in the words of manager Dan Jennings, “sit back and wait for the three-run homer” that came often enough from Stanton that he was leading the NL in both round-trippers and runs batted in.
So the question becomes whether this game can get over the posted number of 7.5 runs, and whether it is going to have to do so under the steam of the Giants’ bats exclusively. Vogelsong has allowed a total of ten base runners and one earned run in 14 innings over his last two starts against Miami, but those were both at AT&T Park. On the road, he has a 4.89 ERA. Latos has pitched 34-1/3 innings at Marlins Park and has a 7.60 ERA. That’s no way to “showcase” himself for a possible trade to a contender.