Monday, October 6th, 2014
As you make your NFL picks, you may be confronted with teams that are out down and out. You’ll find teams that have been run over by the media, and it looks like there is no way they can win. Often, when you’re making NFL picks, these are the opportunities you’ll be waiting for. The down and out team is often undervalued by the public, and this makes for great betting opportunities.
The New England Patriots of 2014 are an excellent example. This is a great franchise with lots of good players, but in the early of the year, they had fallen on hard times. On a Sunday night with most bettors lining up to make money against the Patriots, they rose up and got a huge win. They circled the wagons, so to speak, which was a major factor in their success. What is the lesson to be learned from this? When teams look like they are on their last leg, it might just be time for you to throw your money behind them.
Quite often, the public gets it wrong about teams. As you make your NFL picks, you should be keeping your eyes open for spots just like these. The people who make money on NFL picks are those who are willing to look beyond just what they have seen over a two or three week sample. You should be thinking about value and the long term, and sometimes that means taking a hard look at the down and out team.