Monday, October 6th, 2014

Football picksOctober 6, 2014
Three Ways to Make Money on NFL PicksAs you engage in your NFL handicapping this year, your ultimate goal should be making money. While some people do it for the pride, and other people do it for the entertainment value, the smart bettors understand that when it comes to betting, it’s all about the cash. Here are three ways to make money over the long run.

Fading the public
Over the short term, the public might have the ability to win some of their bets. Even the average Joe who is throwing darts will hit close to five out of every ten bets. Over the long run, though, the public is likely going to lose more than they win, especially when they line up on a popular side. If you fade the public over the long run, you’ll have a much better chance of coming out on top.

Don’t underestimate a good week’s rest
Think of how good you feel after you’ve had some time off. NFL teams are no different. Often, a struggling team just needs an extra week off in order to re-boot. If you think hard about playing those teams coming off of a bye week, you’ll end up with better NFL picks results over the long haul.

Cap the trap
One of the best rules for NFL pickers is to handicap the trap. If you have ever heard commentators talk about “trap” games, then you know what this rule refers to. Is a team playing a rival next week? Do they have to travel a long distance to play that rival? These are cases when you can handicap the trap, taking the unpopular side against a team that is in a trap game situation.


Football picksOctober 6, 2014

NFL Handicapping: Betting the Down and Out TeamAs you make your NFL picks, you may be confronted with teams that are out down and out. You’ll find teams that have been run over by the media, and it looks like there is no way they can win. Often, when you’re making NFL picks, these are the opportunities you’ll be waiting for. The down and out team is often undervalued by the public, and this makes for great betting opportunities.

The New England Patriots of 2014 are an excellent example. This is a great franchise with lots of good players, but in the early of the year, they had fallen on hard times. On a Sunday night with most bettors lining up to make money against the Patriots, they rose up and got a huge win. They circled the wagons, so to speak, which was a major factor in their success. What is the lesson to be learned from this? When teams look like they are on their last leg, it might just be time for you to throw your money behind them.

Quite often, the public gets it wrong about teams. As you make your NFL picks, you should be keeping your eyes open for spots just like these. The people who make money on NFL picks are those who are willing to look beyond just what they have seen over a two or three week sample. You should be thinking about value and the long term, and sometimes that means taking a hard look at the down and out team.