NFL Game of the Month!


February 2013

Basketball picksFebruary 27, 2013

Around one year ago, the Bulls lost their star. Derrick Rose went down with a knee injury, and it was all over for Chicago. Now it looks like Rose will be back at some point in the next couple of months. He will be back for playoff time. So how do you deal with Derrick Rose as you make your NBA predictions. Should you wait to see how he does or should you go out on a limb? The truth is that if you are going to make money, you have to take some chances before the market can adjust.

Reports indicate that Derrick Rose has been a bit slowed. He does, however, have the ability to move fluidly at practice. You will want to watch the news reports in the next few weeks. Before you make your NBA picks, you will want to listen for what kind of explosiveness Rose has or does not have. Derrick Rose depends upon this for his offensive effectiveness. If Rose lacks this explosiveness, then he will be more of an impediment to the offense than anything else. If he is going to be anything like his old self, then you might find value in making NBA spread picks on the Bulls.

It is up to you to get the information before everyone else. Once Rose plays a few times, the market will adjust and the Bulls will be appropriately priced. If you can get the info before he plays a couple of games, then you might have a chance to make good cash betting Chicago. There are many different sources that offer this kind of information. Digest as much information as you possibly can if you wan tto make a profit in a couple of month.


Football picksFebruary 26, 2013

The next football season doesn’t start for a few months, but that doesn’t mean that we have to stop thinking about the game. For those of you who make Super Bowl picks, the time to think about next year is right now. Who is going to be the favorite in 2013? Can we pick out a club right now that might do its business in the next Super Bowl? Perhaps the answer will bore you, because the same old teams are right at the top of the list. Things haven’t changed that much in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers have to be at the top of the list. When you make NFL predictions, you will like to favor those teams with good QBs and good defenses. Good coaches help, too. San Fran has all of that and much more. The QB situation should improve out in the Bay, as Kaepernick gets more experience. In addition, almost every contributor on that defense is coming back. They will be a force yet again, and you would be wise to think of San Fran as a Super Bowl contended next year. The only question will be health and whether they can produce in the zone read once again. All signs point to that going well for the 49ers.

You might also look to the Green Bay Packers as a potential under the radar team. The Packers were very close to being the top overall seed in the NFC this year, and they still have a lot of talent. Aaron Rodgers is still probably the best QB in the league, so that gives them a chance. You have to think that Green Bay will figure things out on defense in the coming months. If they can get good production on D, they will be very hard to beat next season.


Basketball picksFebruary 23, 2013

As you go forward with your college basketball picks, you may be thinking about March. Perhaps you want to lay down some money on a futures bet that will pay off big if your team wins. Maybe you are doing something different. But you need to think long and hard about what wins in March. So what does win in March? Is there one style of play that is better for winning there? The truth is that style of play really doesn’t matter. But certain other factors do.

Kentucky won last year, and they play a very fast style. Louisville came very close to winning, and they play a methodical pace. Kansas and Ohio State are somewhere in-between, and they got to the Final Four, as well. This shows us that any style can do well in March, so long as the team plays that style well. The things that matter in March are taking good shots, getting to the free throw line, and rebounding the ball. To a lesser extent, the ability to not turn the ball over is an important factor. If a team can do these things, they will show a better ability to win in March.

You need to be targeting those teams that are able to limit good shots. You might also look to those teams that can defend the three-point line. Defending the line is about more than just holding the opponent to a low percentage from there. In addition, you need to look at those teams that do not allow their opponents to get a shot off. A big part of playing defense is being able to run people off of the line. Look to these teams if you want to have March Madness betting success in March.


Basketball picksFebruary 23, 2013

As you make  NCAA basketball picks, you will notice that one very important factor is motivation. If a team is not motivated, then they will struggle to play well in March. If a team has the ultimate motivation – a win or go home mentality – then they will play well in March. This is not always true though it plays out more often than you might think. So that brings us to conference tournaments? What can we expect to see from teams in those tournaments? Can we expect teams to care about these tournaments when the big one is around the corner?

There is something to be said for a sure-fire top seed in a conference tournament. Think about a team like Kentucky of 2012. They were certain to be the top overall seed no matter what happened in the SEC tournament. In situations like that, you have to look at the conference. Does that conference have a lot of fierce rivalries? Is winning the league a big deal? In the SEC, this might not be the case. In the Big Ten, it might matter a little bit more. It really depends upon the league.

The teams with greater motivation are those teams that need to win a few games in order to make the dance. When you make NCAA basketball picks
you might want to look at those teams a little bit closer. They have an incentive to play their best basketball. They might be matched up against a team that doesn’t care. You might find good luck when betting on these teams in those conference tourneys. They may present an opportunity for good value against teams that do not care.


Basketball picksFebruary 23, 2013

When you make your college basketball predictions, you will need to consider late game situations. You have to consider how late game spots play out in regard to the point spread. If the game is under 10 points in margin, then the late game situation is going to play out in either one way or another. In one case, the team with the lead might start adding to its lead with free throws. In another case, the team that’s up will miss its free throws and allow some buckets on the other end. It could go either way, and you owe it to yourself to think about this before investing your money.

With that in mind, what things should you consider before making those college basketball picks. First, you might want to think about a team’s free throw shooting prowess. Does a team have a lot of good shooters to fill out the end of the game? You need to think about more than just the best shooter. In many cases, the opposing team will force the ball out of the best shooter’s hands. This will lead to poorer free throw shooters taking those shots. You should look at the team and determine whether there are two or three people who you would trust to take free throws.

In addition, you need to study how a team plays the final minutes. Many teams will play defense in the end-game to disallow three point baskets. They will run people off of the three point line, forcing those teams to take layups. Though this might help a team win, it can hurt you with your college basketball picks. It can mean that the trailing team gets a lot of easy points late in the game. This will make it much more difficult for your side to cover the spread, especially when that spread if higher than four or five.


Basketball picksFebruary 18, 2013

People who bet college basketball and the NBA often have to change their views when they go between these two sports. One reason has to do with the availability of blowouts in the NBA. The league is just not designed to allow teams to blow one another out. The benches are too deep, the pace is too high, and the games are too long. Teams tend to come back on one another when you think they might not. In college basketball, a highly superior team might beat another team by 30. That will not happen often in the NBA, because the talent differences are much smaller.

As a bettor, this is information that you need to take into account. When you make your NBA predictions, you have to be very wary of those big spreads. Even if the favorite jumps out to a nice lead, it might not mean anything. It might only mean that the other squad is going to come back in the end. Blowing a team out in the NBA requires a lot of luck, and you don’t want to be on the other side of that.

This is not to say that the NBA does not have blowouts. It has plenty of games where one team will crush another. But these things tend to happen randomly and for no good reason at all. It will happen when one team is just too tired to care in a second half. If you are going to lay big points, make sure you are doing it against a tired team. Otherwise, your NBA picks might get sunk.


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