Poor Defensive Teams Buckling Down After A Big Loss
The NBA has a lot of teams with labels, in terms of offensive or defensive. When someone thinks of the Grizzlies or the Bulls, for example, defense would come to mind. When someone thinks of Houston or Oklahoma City, offense would be the choice.
So what happens when you have a team that is horrible on the defensive end coming off a blowout loss?
For the sake of having something to measure against, let’s establish a poor defensive team as one that allows 103 or more points per game. We will then take a look at how these teams fare against the total:
2355-2218-76 to the UNDER or a cover rate of 51.5% so nothing has been established
We then look and see how these teams do if they are at home:
1199-1128-33 to the UNDER 51.55 we see no change
Then we add in the magical piece of the equation: a team that was blown out in their last game. They are going to want to get the bad taste out of their mouth and play defense.
So we add to the equation that they lost their last game by 20 points or more:
142-93-5 to the UNDER or a very profitable cover tare of 60.4%!
Tonight the Houston Rockets will put this system to the test.
TREND OF THE DAY:
St. Bonaventure is 20-6-1 ATS after a loss.
A note about systems: Systems presented in Morning Coffee are intended as one input to bolster your handicapping. Please remember that plays derived from any of these systems are not my official picks. I dont necessarily recommend playing any system picks blindly and I may in fact go on the opposite side of some of these once all factors are considered and games are fully handicapped