April 2012


Baseball picksApril 17, 2012

Do home teams have an edge in MLB?

So you want to make MLB picks this year, but you are more of a football and basketball guy. Your first question might be about home field. Is it important in baseball? How much weight do you give it? The truth is that it’s hard to quantify the edge in baseball. It is certainly less than in football and basketball. The statistics say that home teams do play better in baseball over the long run, though. This is probably because of familiarity with the park and avoiding the strain of travel that road teams will have to deal with.

 

You need to assess how well a pitcher enjoys his home park. This is the factor that is most important when you are making MLB picks. Some pitchers have a style that works well in their home park. For instance, a pitcher who gives up a lot of fly balls would really like to pitch in San Diego. A guy who gives up a bunch of fly balls might struggle with a road game at Yankee Stadium. These are the factors to consider when you make your MLB picks.

 

Posted by Wunderdog’s trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “



Baseball picksApril 17, 2012

Money line moves in MLB betting

Most people in the betting world are aware of how and why point spreads move in other sports. They recognize that a line might move over a critical number in a football game. They have more trouble with their MLB picks, though. They are not quite sure what to make of a money line move in a Major League Baseball game. So what are some things about the money line that you need to know if you are going to make the best free MLB picks?

You should know, first and foremost, that money lines will almost always move some in baseball. It would be strange if a line did not move over the course of a day. You should also know that a move of less than ten cents is likely not a big deal. A line moving from -122 to -126 is not a huge move in the world of baseball. It may not mean that any sort of big betting has been taking place. Often times, the books will play games with the moneyline, moving it a little bit to try and influence your betting. You should truly start to take note of a money line move in baseball picks when it moves more than ten cents.

 

Posted by Wunderdog’s Trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “



Baseball picksApril 10, 2012

Do home teams have an edge in MLB?

So you want to make MLB picks this year, but you are more of a football and basketball guy. Your first question might be about home field. Is it important in baseball? How much weight do you give it? The truth is that it’s hard to quantify the edge in baseball. It is certainly less than in football and basketball. The statistics say that home teams do play better in baseball over the long run, though. This is probably because of familiarity with the park and avoiding the strain of travel that road teams will have to deal with.

You need to assess how well a pitcher enjoys his home park. This is the factor that is most important when you are making MLB picks. Some pitchers have a style that works well in their home park. For instance, a pitcher who gives up a lot of fly balls would really like to pitch in San Diego. A guy who gives up a bunch of fly balls might struggle with a road game at Yankee Stadium. These are the factors to consider when you make your free MLB picks.

 

Posted by Wunderdog’s Trusty Sidekick ” Wundercat “



Baseball picksApril 10, 2012

Money line moves in MLB betting

Most people in the betting world are aware of how and why point spreads move in other sports. They recognize that a line might move over a critical number in a football game. They have more trouble with their MLB picks, though. They are not quite sure what to make of a money line move in a Major League Baseball game. So what are some things about the money line that you need to know if you are going to make the best MLB picks?

You should know, first and foremost, that money lines will almost always move some in baseball. It would be strange if a line did not move over the course of a day. You should also know that a move of less than ten cents is likely not a big deal. A line moving from -122 to -126 is not a huge move in the world of baseball. It may not mean that any sort of big betting has been taking place. Often times, the books will play games with the moneyline, moving it a little bit to try and influence your betting. You should truly start to take note of a money line move in baseball when it moves more than ten cents.

 

Posted By Wunderdog’s Trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “



Baseball picksApril 10, 2012

Using advanced stats to assess pitching

One thing that you have to do if you are going to be successful with your free MLB picks is learn how to assess pitching. The best way to do this is by using advanced stats, which tend to be more predictive in nature. There are some things that can provide you with a look into what a pitcher will do in the future. Some things offer no predictive value. For instance, if a pitcher gives up a bunch of balls that just happen to be hit right at fielders, does this tell you anything about how likely he is to prevent runs the next time out? It doesn’t offer much predictive help.

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Strikeouts, walks, and home runs allowed do offer some predictive value. If a player is able to miss bats on a consistent basis, this is a skill that will likely repeat itself. You need to look at these factors when you compare pitchers. Strikeout rate is not the only thing that you need to know, but it certainly ranks very high on the list of things that will make a quality starting pitcher. Understand this and you will be on your way to making good MLB picks this season.

 

Posted by Wunderdog’s Trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “



Baseball picksApril 9, 2012

MLB picks and assessing starting pitching

If you want to know about the most important factor when assessing free MLB baseball picks in any season, you should start by considering starting pitching. The starting pitcher has the most control over the game when you are talking about individual players. You need to understand how pitchers match up against a given team. Does one pitcher have a good track record against certain players in the other lineup? Is a pitcher especially hard on left handed or right handed batters? These are all very big factors that will help to determine whether or not you make money with your MLB betting.

As you make your MLB picks this season, you have to recognize what a good starting pitcher looks like. Do not be fooled by guys who happen to get lucky on balls in play. You want pitchers who are able to control walks and miss bats. Strikeout rate and walk rate can provide you with a clear picture of what a starting pitcher is all about. When you think about the teams to choose with your MLB picks, this is a factor that you’ll have to keep in mind.

 

Posted by Wunderdog’s trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “



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