January 2012

Sports picksJanuary 26, 2012

So you want to get good at sports betting? You need to have the right frame of mind. No one is going to win in sports betting with their sports picks unless they have their mind right. The appropriate mindset is one that expects to win, but knows that losses are inevitable. After all, you are betting on random events. Even if you have a model that tells you what will happen a certain percentage of the time, you can end up in a bad way if you are unwilling to deal with the losses.

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Likewise, you need to know that nothing comes easy. The best sports betting mindset is to be a skeptic. Question everything. If you see a line and it looks too good, then you have to ask, “Why?” What is the book doing here and what am I missing? Chances are that you are not the smartest guy in the room. Rather, you are just missing out on a huge chunk of information that some other people might have. If you can take this mindset into sports betting, you will be more successful at the end of the day with your free sports picks.

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Basketball picksJanuary 24, 2012

We all know that the NBA is a star driven league. So when stars are out for one team or another, there might be some temptation to place your bets on the other side. This seems like it would make good sense, right? People making NBA picks often employ this philosophy, but they don’t often employ it with any sort of success. That’s because when the stars are out of the game in the NBA, things change. Teams play up a notch or two. Likewise, the line is often a bad one if you are betting against the team with the injured star in basketball picks.

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Before you go off making blind bets like this, you have to think about all of the angles. History has shown us that, especially at home, teams will rally and play up a level or two when they have some stars out of the game. Remember this the next time you go out and make picks on the NBA. There is often a lot of value in going the other way in games like this, even though that might not be the most popular position to take. If you can successfully do that, then you can find long-term NBA betting success.


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Sports picksJanuary 21, 2012

Many people claim to have the right answers on how to structure your bets in order to get the most out of them. Some of these people are right, while others are wrong. So what separates the two sides? It all depends upon how someone calculates his edge. How much you bet on a game depends upon your expected return from that game. Essentially, it is impossible to know how much to bet on each game unless you have good data on how often you should win that game.

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Essentially, most people should be betting no more than one percent to two percent of their available bankroll on any given game. This might seem low, but it underscores the idea that bankroll management is important. When you bet more than that with your sports picks, you will have a hard time withstanding any sort of slide. Even if you are good, you are going to have a rough patch or two with your sports betting. Prepare yourself for this and you will be pleased with the results while being able to continue along with your sports betting.

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Posted By Wunderdog’s Trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “


Basketball picksJanuary 20, 2012

When you look and try to make college basketball picks this season, you should notice something that seems to be going on. That is, home teams are really running away with things in many settings. It is becoming harder and harder for teams to go on the road and win. Yet people still continue to make their college basketball picks on road teams. Why is this the case? It’s because people don’t quite understand the home court advantage aspect of the game. It is much bigger than you might think, and it’s something to take into account when you make college basketball picks this year.

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Ultimately you can run into a lot of problems betting road teams. The first problem comes down to the fact that road teams have different sightlines when they shoot at an opposing arena. When a team gets used to one sight line, then it gets a different set, the consequences can be severe. This is the primary reason why college basketball has the biggest home court advantage of any sport. Remember this the next time you try to make your college basketball picks on a road team that is going to flop horribly.


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Basketball picksJanuary 18, 2012

You probably know that home teams are where it’s at in sports betting. Never is that more prevalent than in college basketball. If you are going to make it in college basketball, then you need to learn the value of betting home teams. Whether talking about home dogs or home favorites, you want to be sure that your home is on home teams when you make those basketball picks.

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The problem with betting road teams in college basketball is that those teams are often overwhelmed in tough arenas. There are so many variables that come into play when you bet road teams. Travel problems, focus problems, and shooting problems come into play. Teams can look like they have never stepped on the floor before when they are put into these tough road environments. With this in mind, it pays to bet home teams when you are thinking about handicapping college hoops & sports picks.


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Basketball picksJanuary 18, 2012

With all forms of sports betting, it is key to get the best possible number if you are going to have success over the long haul. You have to bet numbers early and try to beat the closing number. Ultimately this is the the only way to ensure success with your bets. Getting the right number in college basketball picks is absolutely the most important thing going. Because college basketball games can be volatile and the final score can shift dramatically with one shot, it pays to shop around for the best possible bet.

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Ultimately you don’t want to run into a situation where you get beat by a half point or a full point because you waited too long to make a bet. If you know that you have the right side, then you need to bet before that line moves.


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