Monday, March 1st, 2010

Basketball picksMarch 1, 2010


NCAA Basketball Picks, NCAA Picks, Basketball Picks vs. the Spread

How to Cap the Trap

One thing that Wundercat knows about betting is that traps are to be avoided at all costs when making NCAA basketball picks. You know when those games look too good to be true, and you just can’t lay off of them. You walk right in with guns blazing, but there is always something in the handicapping that you’ve missed. So how do you cap the trap? It all starts with asking the question, “Why?”

When Tennessee played Kentucky last weekend, the line had the Cats as a short favorite. The world jumped on the Cats without asking why the line was so low. When Tennessee took the game to a clearly tired Kentucky team early and held them off for a big win, people realized what they had missed. In that game, it was the fact that UK had to turn around quickly after a 9PM Thursday night game to play a road game at noon on Saturday. If you had asked the right questions and figured out what kind of impact this type of turnaround would have, you might have avoided that trap game.

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Even better, capping the trap is all about getting on the side of the trap. One thing that I know is that it’s always best to be on the other side of the public when they’ve made a square move. If you can spot a trap game and not only avoid the bad side, but have the guts to play the good side, then you will take the next step with your handicapping.

Capping the trap is something that you should be able to master with more experience. The mice run to those games that look too good and they load up. The sharps join Wundercat on the other side, and they take advantage of information that the average bettors just doesn’t consider.

Posted by Wunderdog trusty sidekick ” Wundercat “ .