Nfl Weekly Predictions - November 27, 2011

We enter week 12 having won 8 of 11 weeks in the NFL this season. We look to have another winning week this week with six side picks and six totals picks. Get this week's picks here.

An update on 2011 Season Win Totals predictions: As it currently stands, it looks likely we'll have at least 8 wins and 3 losses, with 7 bets still up in the air:

Winners/Likely winners:
Colts UNDER 9.5 (bet won)
Niners OVER 6 (bet won)
Bengals OVER 5.5 (bet won)
Texans OVER 8.5 (on pace for 11)
Jets UNDER 10 (on pace for 8)
Broncos OVER 5.5 (on pace for 8)
Chiefs UNDER 8 (on pace for 6.5)
Rams UNDER 7.5 (on pace for 3)

Likely losers:
Vikings OVER 7 (on pace for 3)
Chargers OVER 10 (on pace for 6.5)
Panthers OVER 4.5 (on pace for 3)

Up in the air:
Falcons UNDER 10 (on pace for 9.5)
Steelers OVER 10.5 (on pace for 11)
Browns OVER 6.5 (on pace for 6.5)
Patriots UNDER 11.5 (on pace for 11)
Saints UNDER 10 (on pace for 11)
Redskins OVER 6 (on pace for 5)
Ravens UNDER 10.5 (on pace for 11.5)

Today's Picks:

Game: Minnesota at Atlanta (Sunday 11/27 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +9.5 (-110)

The Vikings have gone 3-10 in their last 13 NFL games going back to last year. Included in there however are losses to some good teams with a pair of losses to Green Bay and losses to San Diego, Chicago, Detroit and Oakland. Now they have to travel to Atlanta with the likelihood that Adrian Peterson will be on the sidelines. As a result, the line on this game is large. The loss of Peterson changes the Minnesota offense, which could be a good thing. Percy Harvin has a lot of talent and Christian Ponder has been effective and Toby Gerhart is a suitable backup. Last week Jake Locker looked pretty good vs. the Falcons defense, rallying his team from a 20-point deficit to make a game of it. The Vikings are still good on defense and missing a key weapon on offense usually inspires the defense to be even better. The Vikings are tied for the league lead in sacks with 31, so they will be pressuring Matt Ryan. Matty Ice has not been as cool under pressure as he was a year ago, throwing more INTs this year than he did last year with over 200 less attempts. The Falcons are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite. And, while the Ryan-led Falcons have been great at home (23-7 straight-up), covering large numbers has been a different story. As a favorite of more than 9 points, this team is just 2-3 ATS in this building. The Falcons aren't quite what they were last year and this is a very large spread. Take the underdog and the points here.

Results: 30-22

NFL Football Picks Resources:

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