This pick was released to clients on August 13, 2012 at 2:13PM ET.
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Tennessee at Jacksonville

December 22, 2002
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Jacksonville +3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS

Revenge is sweet. Jacksonville remembers this year’s first game against the Titans. Jacksonville players recall Tennessee DB Smari Rolle’s helmet-to-helmet hit that knocked Jaguar QB Mark Brunell out of the game. After starting the season 3-1, Jacksonville dropped four straight games to drop out of playoff contention. Now Jacksonville has a chance to return the favor. If that isn’t enough motivation, they have a chance to get to .500 and save head coach Tom Coughlin’s job.

Mark Brunell is playing very well, with a 2.8 to 1 TD to INT ratio this year. The Jags have the 6th best scoring defense in the league and a top 10 rushing offense!

The Titans are in a similar situation as the Jets last week. The Jets fell to a “poor’ Bears squad as a 6.5 point favorite. The Jets were simply playing too good for their talent, having won 5 out of their last 6. Their luck had to run out. The Titans have won eight of their last nine and can’t continue at this level forever either. Teams and human beings get tired and Tennessee just isn’t as good as their recent record reflects.

Divisional home dogs do very well against the spread in December, covering 7 times out of 10. While most of the world will be on Tennessee in this game, the Wunderdog smells upset. Statistically the Jags are better than Tennessee and if the Titan’s weren’t on such a roll, Jacksonville would be favored in this game.

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