Tennessee at Denver

The Denver Broncos have been scoring machines for the most part this season, but this is going to be a tough one. This will be especially daunting on QB Peyton Manning. Manning has had well-documented struggles in the playoffs, primarily because of cold weather. We saw it this season in New England a couple of weeks ago - a game in which Manning passed for just 132 yards, by far his lowest total of the season. The temperature at game time in Denver is supposed to be in the low teens and Manning has not fared well starting games in sub-freezing weather. He owns a passer rating of 96.8 when the temperature at game time is greater than 40, but when it is less than 32 it drops off the charts to 70.7. His TD, INT and completion percentages all fall with the temperature. In his career in games with a temperature below 40, Manning is just 10-12 in his career. Denver doesn't run the ball well especially when Manning isn't keeping defenses honest, so the offense is quite likely to be less than what we have seen all season. Tennessee has enough defense to ensure that the Broncos have full resistance, and enough offense to stay inside the long number. The Titans have just one loss by 10 or more all season, and have gone 6-1 ATS after a loss in their last seven. The points won't come as freely here for Denver, so play on Tennessee and the UNDER.