New York at Houston

When the season ends, the Houston Texans may look back on last Monday's huge upset win vs. Cincinnati as the turning point of their season. The Texans were looking down the barrel of 3-6 as they played an 8-0 Bengal's team on the road, but came up with a huge effort and win and that has them tied for first in the AFC South. Indy will be without Andrew Luck this week, so the Texans are poised to capitalize. The Titans host the struggling NY Jets, who have now dropped three of their last four. The Jets defense allowed fewer than 14 points per game through four games, but have since fallen apart. Their last five opponents have all scored 20+ against them, and they simply don't have enough offense to win games when the defense is not elite. Houston has won three out of four in large part because they have turned their turnover situation positive, taking care of the ball and coughing it up just two times in the last four games while taking it away from their opponent nine times. The Texans have stepped up at home vs. good teams, as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning road record on the season. Take Houston in this one.