2016 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
October 02, 2016
Minnesota at Phoenix
Sunday 10/02 05:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Minnesota -2 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93) RESULT: WIN
Phoenix is home, but on a 31-43 ATS run, and even coming home won't help against this Minnesota juggernaut. The top-seeded Lynx rolled the first two games, 113-95 and 96-86. Phoenix is home after playing five straight road games, plus 10 of the last 12 away. Phoenix has weak spots, eighth in the WNBA in rebounding, assists, and points allowed. They gave up 94 points and 52.9% shooting in a playoff battle three games ago, but pulled out the win at New York. That soft defense didn't cut it against powerhouse Minnesota, though, allowing 63.9% in Game 1 while getting beat on the glass by 18 and allowing 5-of-10 from long range in Game 2 while losing the rebounding battle by five, including 11-6 on the offensive glass. Phoenix also turned the ball over 20 times in Game 2. The Lynx won WNBA titles in 2011, 2013, and 2015 and can advance to the Finals for the fifth time in six years. They received a double-bye to the Semifinals as the No. 1 overall seed. The defending champion Lynx are second in the league in scoring, assists, and points allowed, plus fourth in rebounding. The Lynx swept the season series, 3-0, so they have not lost to Phoenix in five tries this season. Minnesota went 13-4 straight up on the road during the regular season and is s 10-2 ATS in the Conference Finals. Play Minnesota.