Minnesota at Miami

Minnesota is still playing hard for their first-year, no-nonsense coach and playing better of late (3-0 ATS in their last three). They gave the first-place Lions all they could handle on the road last week in a 16-14 Detroit victory. Minnesota had the edge in yards 360-233 and held Detroit to 2-of-11 on third down. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS after a defeat and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December. They are a big dog to a Miami squad that is at a low point, dropping to third in the division after going 1-3 SU/ATS the last four games. The defense has given up 39, 28 and 41 points in the losses, and the only win was 16-13 over the punchless New York Jets. And, the Vikings have feasted this year vs. struggling pass defenses going 8-2 ATS vs. teams allwoing 61%+ completions. Miami's offense has been below average all season at #20 in passing and #14 in rushing. The Dolphins have been outscored 69-26 in the last two weeks. Miami has forced only five turnovers in six games and recorded six sacks in the last five. Miami's last five opponents have converted 51.5% (35 of 68) of their third-down chances. The Dolphins are 15-35-1 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record and 0-5 ATS in December. Take the generous points the Minnesota Vikings.