2012 Season College Football Past Picks

 

January 01, 2013

01

Michigan vs. South Carolina

Tuesday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Michigan +5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)  RESULT: push

South Carolina finished the season at 10-2 but the jury may still be out on this team. The Gamecocks avoided having to play against Alabama and Texas A&M, then proceeded to lose to Florida and LSU. They missed the biggest opponents in the conference and then lost to the two they did play. To their credit, they did knock off Georgia. Michigan may have four losses but two of them were to the only two unbeaten teams in NCAA Football this season, while the third was to a team that is playing in the National Championship game, Alabama. Their only other loss was to Nebraska, who isn't such a bad team either.  The win/loss column has more to do with this line than the reality of the level of these teams, which is a toss-up, so points will weigh heavy here in this one. These teams have both struggled to move the ball against good defenses and they are both going to see a top level defense here, as Michigan will bring the 11 rated defense into this game. Their defense has allowed just 18.8 ppg. South Carolina is right there with them as the gamecocks rank #12 in fewest yards allowed and give up a stingy 17.4 ppg. South Carolina is 10-4 to the UNDER in their last 14 vs. a winning team and each of their last four Bowl games have gone UNDER the total. Michigan is 12-5 to the UNDER in their last 17 vs. a winning team. The Gamecocks are not exactly bettor friendly on a neutral field where they are 1-5 ATS n their last six, while the Wolverines making necessary adjustments after allowing 200+ on the ground in their last game at 5-1 ATS in their last six. Play on Michigan and the UNDER.

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