2016 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
October 20, 2016
Los Angeles at Minnesota
Thursday 10/20 08:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Minnesota -5.5 (-107) (risk 1.5 to return 2.9) RESULT: loss
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 157.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86) RESULT: win
Minnesota showed its championship mettle in the last game, winning 85-79 at Los Angeles in Game 4. So instead of being down 3-1, they tied the series at 2-2 and now have home court for the decisive Game 5. The Lynx out-rebounded the Sparks 41-25, including 14 offensive boards. Minnesota was the third-best rebounding team in the league all season, while Los Angeles ranked third-to-last in that category. Los Angeles is 6-12 SU when playing Minnesota and they are going to have focus on defense in this tough road trip with so much at stake. Both teams will play intense defense, which already happened with Games 1 and 2 on this court, both going UNDER the total. Los Angeles can play great defense, tops in the league in points allowed (75.9 points per game) this season. Minnesota leans on its strong defense, too, second in the WNBA in points allowed. In Game 2 here the Sparks shot just 32.9 percent (23-of-70). League MVP Nneka Ogwumike took just six shots and Candace Parker was held to six points on 3-of-12 shooting as the Lynx controlled the boards with a 46-32 rebounding advantage. The Sparks also missed 17-of-20 three-pointers in their last trip here in Game 2. Minnesota has won 18-of-22 games overall and is on a 7-3 ATS run. The UNDER is also 11-7 when these teams clash, so grab home court in a defensive battle. Play Minnesota and the UNDER.