This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 5:08PM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Buffalo

November 13, 2005
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Kansas City +2.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS

This Chiefs team is feeling good about themselves after their last-second gutsy win over the Oakland Raiders last week. Priest Holmes is out, but no matter. Larry Johnson has proved a more than capable replacement. After a slow start, Kansas City has found their offense again. Over their past five games, they are averaging 27.2 points per game. I expect Larry Johnson to step up in this game. He wants to show, in his first game as the true starter, that he deserves that role. He's averaging 5.2 yards per carry on the season and is ready to shoulder the load. While Buffalo's pass defense is the best in the league, they are just middle-of-the-road against the run. Kansas City, with the veteren Trent Green, will find a way to score here. After a promising start replacing JP Losman, Buffalo's Kelly Holcomb has cooled. He's 2-2 since replaceing the rookie and has done little to instill confidence in the past two games, both losses. Kansas City is the better team and this game should be about a pick 'em. The points make this a high percentage play. Kansas City for one star.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 424,779 Subscribers!