This pick was released to clients on August 15, 2012 at 10:38AM ET.
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Jacksonville at Tennessee

November 16, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Tennessee -10 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS

Don’t overreact to Jacksonville’s upset victory last week. They were in a good spot against a Colts team that was in a letdown situation. The Jags are 0-4 on the road this season. This week they face what could be the best team in the league - a team that is just tied for 1st place in their division and thus, still hungry for wins. Steve McNair, the league’s top-rated QB is in-the-zone, as they say. He’s been unstoppable and should have an easy time of it on Sunday against the league’s 24th ranked pass defense. The Titans boast the league’s best run defense and should be able to bottle up Fred Taylor forcing Jacksonville into a one-dimensional offense. Having all of the weight on the shoulders of rookie QB Byron Leftwich on the road is a recipe for disaster for the Jaguars. Leftwich, a rookie, has performed like one this season. Prior to last week, he has thrown an average of 3 interceptions per game. Even in last week’s upset win, he only completed 12 passes for 179 yards. He’ll be a good QB someday but this league eats up rookie QBs. This game could get ugly early if Jacksonville can’t run the ball. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS this year at home. It’s a lot of points but this is a recipe for a blowout.

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