This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 11:01PM ET.
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Jacksonville at Kansas City

December 31, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS

Jacksonville owns the league's #2 defense (yards) and is #4 in points allowed. Kansas City is ranked 9th in points allowed at 19 per game. At home they are allowing just 17.3 per game. Take out games against good offensive teams (Cinncinnati, Seattle and San Diego) and that drops to 10.8 ppg. Jacksonville averages just 18.4 points per game on the road - a full 8 points fewer than what they put up at home. Their defense relaxes on the road too but KC is not an offensive powerhouse this year. Both of these teams have pounding running games with Larry Johnson on one side and the emerging Maurice Jones-Drew on the other. Both like to run the ball and as a result, this clock should move quickly. Kansas City is 12-4 UNDER in games played in the second half of the season the past two years. We look for this one to be low scoring.

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