Denver at New York

The Broncos have been thought of all season long as an offensive giant, but the reality is they only started that way, and that image has lasted all the way past Thanksgiving. The offense was good, averaging 38 ppg offense in the first three weeks of the season. But, it has been replaced by one that has averaged 18 ppg in the last eight weeks! The fact is, for half a seson now, the Denver offense has been below the NFL average in points per game! The Jets defense is much better than advertised. Some of the numbers, especially points allowed, are deceiving. They allowed 35 to Arizona, but led the game 34-0 and basically played soft the rest of the game. Since that game, five of seven opponents have scored 17 or less. The Jets may be all about Favre in the press, but what has gone unnoticed is that Thomas Jones has rushed for 950 yards already. And Leon Washington is an emerging star with his speed, having contributed 322 yards on 5.5 ypc. The Jets are toning down Brett Favre, and the Broncos can't stop the run. It is likely to see the Jets pound the ball all game long, and shorten the game. The Broncos offense is struggling, and the Jets defense has been big, and I expect this one to go UNDER the total.