This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 5:50PM ET.
img NFL

Baltimore at Tennessee

September 18, 2005
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Baltimore -3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Tennessee showed us a lot last week. Their defense IS that bad and their offense IS NOT that good - yet. Norm Chow will get this offense performing better but it's clear it will take a while and they will need to score points in buckets to keep this team in games. Against this Baltimore defense, the Titans may not score. I say that only half in-jest. Tennessee's defense has gone from bad to worse. Samari Rolle will be on the field in this game, but as a Raven instead of a Titan. Rolle, Tennessee's best cornerback, was let go this year for salary cap reasons. They also lost DT Kevin Carter and safety Lance Shulters. The result? We saw it last week as Pittsburgh shredded them with a third-string tailback and Ben Roethlisberger who was 9 for 11. Why are we only laying a bit more than a field goal here? Because Baltimore got embarrased by Indinanpolis on national TV last week. I am not a Kyle Boller fan. This guy is second to only Jake Plummer on the list of bad QBs who continue to get chances as an NFL starter. Boller is out and Anthony Wright is in. Wright threw 20 passes last week and with a full week to prepare, should have success against the Titans. He really doesn't need to do much here other than hand off to Jamal Lewis and sit back as he and the Ravens defense score points. In his tenure at Tennesse, Jeff Fisher is just 10-20 ATS during the first month of the season. Meanwhile, Baltimore is 21-6 since 1992 off a home loss. It's tough to bounce back from a 34-7 loss in week one and this Titans team doesn't have what it takes, especially against a pissed-off Ravens team. My computer matchup predicts a blow-out here and I agree. Two stars on Baltimore.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 424,788 Subscribers!