This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 10:24PM ET.
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Baltimore at Tennessee

November 12, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Tennessee +7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN

There is nothing more motivating than getting your lunch handed to you as a professional player, something you do for a living, something you take great pride in. The humiliation sticks to you like a rack of ribs after a summer barbeque. Tennessee was undressed vs Jacksonville last week 37-7. It is a script we have come to know for this team, and many others, that get humbled the week before. The public hates to go near a team that gets smacked around on both sides of the ball but we do, and with good reason. The NFL is like the stock market, buy on the bad news, sell on the good news. Earlier this season, Tennessee was whacked by SD 40-7 came back and lost at Miami by 3 as a +10.5, easy cover. They got destroyed by Dallas 45-14 and came back as a +17 to Indianapolis and almost did the unthinkable losing by 1 point for another easy cover. It isn't just Tennessee, it is life, and pride of a professional player. The fact is every week in the NFL a team gets hammered the worst, no one backs them the following week, and they play 60 minutes of their best football. Every team this year that was a big loser the week before has been a big winner the next week. Nothing is 100%, but be certain, when this opportunity arises, the cash comes more often than it goes. Baltimore had a good showing last week but without a +3 turnover margin, they wouldn't have done what they did. And, the Ravens are winless against the spread the past two years on the road following an ATS win. Titans here.

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