This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 6:19PM ET.
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Arizona at Detroit

December 5, 2004
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Arizona +6 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS

Yes, I know Arizona entered this year on a 4-12 ATS streak on the road and hadn't won on the road in nearly two seasons. But this year is different. They won their first game on the road four weeks ago and are 3-3 ATS away from home. Detroit, meanwhile, really stinks it up at home. They are 1-4 SU and ATS and have lost by an average of two touchdowns per game in the Dome this year. The Cardinals start their third different QB in the last four games. Rookie John Navarre gets the call at quarterback and rookie runningback Larry Croom starts in place of the injured Emmitt Smith. If it weren't for these moves, I'd be making this a 3 star selection but I need to back down a bit given the risk inherent in starting two rookies. Visiting underdogs playing a team that lost ATS the following week on Monday or Thursday cover the spread about three fourths of the time. I like Dennis Green to find a way to keep this one close. One star on Arizona plus six .

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